Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 7.748668 8.852539 10.069069 11.511067 13.176120 15.041227 17.292812
2025-08-24 6.128164 7.528541 9.195142 11.331570 14.007428 17.260883 21.535946
2025-08-31 5.139965 6.647174 8.541515 11.110097 14.521980 18.925928 25.085708
2025-09-07 4.691525 6.331565 8.488760 11.554881 15.835048 21.648074 30.226211
2025-09-14 4.243497 5.938704 8.256756 11.687651 16.687056 23.783869 34.759270
2025-09-21 3.834762 5.540910 7.955221 11.659211 17.266994 25.549044 38.910430
2025-09-28 3.467350 5.155752 7.619705 11.524522 17.645221 27.017302 42.734887
2025-10-05 3.288149 5.025495 7.637018 11.907299 18.829819 29.808835 48.932963
2025-10-12 3.110852 4.876917 7.605429 12.198921 19.883179 32.478988 55.218341
2025-10-19 2.981189 4.787997 7.653376 12.613647 21.165761 35.637087 62.683491
2025-10-26 2.719668 4.460917 7.286027 12.297444 21.169991 36.610585 66.368207
2025-11-02 2.517568 4.213809 7.026967 12.136207 21.417381 38.015457 70.976829
2025-11-09 2.333063 3.983820 6.781654 11.983380 21.677466 39.492698 75.950943
2025-11-16 2.161360 3.761567 6.530516 11.795156 21.850522 40.820972 80.788761
2025-11-23 2.000702 3.545181 6.270641 11.563980 21.913455 41.934297 85.307753
2025-11-30 1.956087 3.533805 6.377332 12.028252 23.360330 45.887042 96.196213
2025-12-07 1.869546 3.437642 6.318945 12.166850 24.170539 48.639685 104.849224
2025-12-14 1.768446 3.305877 6.182378 12.137161 24.631444 50.712331 112.246463
2025-12-21 1.662333 3.156254 5.999468 11.996561 24.844408 52.275905 118.669114
2025-12-28 1.626736 3.141051 6.076804 12.396149 26.244585 56.550042 131.977283
2026-01-04 1.582224 3.104482 6.108139 12.700605 27.465198 60.551198 145.152492
2026-01-11 1.553147 3.096625 6.196343 13.133620 29.013955 65.461815 161.241377
2026-01-18 1.450797 2.930717 5.946060 12.803469 28.786179 66.200699 166.771593